Buhari will win in 2019: US Institute
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reported by6 many nigerians feel their hopes have not been met. some respondents suggest the electorate is sufficiently disappointed that voter apathy will be greater in 2019 than in 2015 with the unifying narrative of change that helped elect the apc in 2015 much less compelling as a factor in mobilising the electorate and perceptions that another defeat of the presidential incumbent is less likely to happen in 2019 the report read1 comparing the 2015 elections to the forthcoming one the report said there is a greater chance of the occurrence of election violence listing adamawa anambra ekiti kaduna kano lagos plateau rivers as the eight of 36 states with greater risks of election violence1 given the relative success of the 2015 elections they felt that inec ought to be able to deliver credible elections again in 2019. they feared however that any regression from the level of performance achieved in 2015 could lead to violence because some would view the failings not as a result of incompetence but as deliberate attempts to frustrate the will of the voters1 inec should at least match the standards it set in 2015 and any regression could set the stage for violence1 yet while the potential for election violence exists there are signs of hope. some states have developed successful election conflict-mitigation practices. in the short amount of time remaining inec and the police should undertake a number of key reforms it said1 the united states along with other international supporters of the electoral process should also intensify their efforts to reinforce the work of these key nigerian institutions1 beyond institutional support rather than apply a conventional approach to electoral violence mitigation donor programming should adapt to nigerias current context political shifts and opportunities and be sufficiently flexible to respond to the risks distinct in each of nigerias states1 in advance of the election international diplomatic efforts to preempt electoral violence need to be intensified. regional and international actors should convey their expectations that political parties effectively address their internal disputes and be ready to put on notice politicians responsible for escalating these disputes1